Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.929241 1.041354 1.163183 1.305648 1.467988 1.647569 1.861759
2026-02-08 0.731438 0.875406 1.043781 1.256187 1.518311 1.832886 2.241526
2026-02-15 0.607594 0.766010 0.962456 1.225953 1.573137 2.019102 2.641998
2026-02-22 0.543860 0.716641 0.941900 1.260535 1.705193 2.311947 3.216769
2026-03-01 0.487209 0.666379 0.910101 1.270929 1.800189 2.561713 3.765451
2026-03-08 0.430875 0.608192 0.858250 1.243206 1.832733 2.721221 4.199950
2026-03-15 0.384601 0.558175 0.810899 1.213771 1.855162 2.863416 4.622874
2026-03-22 0.366265 0.546527 0.817531 1.265048 2.006264 3.223006 5.453378
2026-03-29 0.346706 0.530518 0.815026 1.300272 2.133877 3.558600 6.294014
2026-04-05 0.327611 0.513017 0.807800 1.325875 2.246796 3.881732 7.162213
2026-04-12 0.305825 0.488922 0.787149 1.325698 2.313265 4.128769 7.923410
2026-04-19 0.282075 0.459351 0.754395 1.300350 2.330062 4.284129 8.524439
2026-04-26 0.254300 0.421585 0.705896 1.244666 2.289275 4.334804 8.942503
2026-05-03 0.232438 0.392268 0.669659 1.208046 2.281462 4.451583 9.530857
2026-05-10 0.214652 0.368595 0.641293 1.183162 2.293721 4.611337 10.248234
2026-05-17 0.206956 0.362292 0.643799 1.218082 2.432178 5.058680 11.733737
2026-05-24 0.196738 0.350429 0.634745 1.228773 2.520724 5.409683 13.057325
2026-05-31 0.182953 0.330734 0.608969 1.202349 2.524903 5.568642 13.919353
2026-06-07 0.170254 0.312098 0.583630 1.174103 2.521270 5.708374 14.759707
2026-06-14 0.167087 0.311635 0.594122 1.223544 2.702321 6.324940 17.076270
2026-06-21 0.162430 0.307820 0.597432 1.257490 2.851360 6.886226 19.372614
2026-06-28 0.157146 0.302301 0.596694 1.282156 2.981115 7.419327 21.720267
2026-07-05 0.149962 0.292330 0.585718 1.281989 3.048529 7.795837 23.664787